3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,936 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,773/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$161
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$372
Net cashflow
$297/mo
Annual
$3,558/yr
Cap rate
8.27%
Cash-on-cash
7.06%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (1.5% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#380 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities F.
Salamanca City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #560 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7WY628B4GBSQZN
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29