3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,470 sqft ·
Built 1966
· Other
· Active
· 281 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,165/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$245
Net cashflow
$-160/mo
Annual
$-1,925/yr
Cap rate
5.19%
Cash-on-cash
-3.93%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-160 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (16.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (33.4% below list).
It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#224 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Darlington 01 (town): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #52 of 80 in SC (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hartsville Middle (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #153 of 229 statewide, top 68%, 921 students, 100% FRL); Hartsville High (math 42% / reading 80%, grade C+, #105 of 196 statewide, top 54%, 1,133 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Darlington 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 195 units permitted in Darlington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Darlington County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $134k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.7% in Hartsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7X3WYECCXMQ93C
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29