4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Other
· Active
· 230 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,517/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$459
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$594/mo
Annual
$7,123/yr
Cap rate
14.43%
Cash-on-cash
29.07%
DSCR
2.29
1% rule
1.73%
Cash to close
$24,500
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $88k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $594 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#69 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
Tift County (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #96 of 174 in GA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: G. O. Bailey Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #435 of 1,228 statewide, top 37%, 564 students, 100% FRL); Eighth Street Middle School (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #327 of 470 statewide, top 70%, 958 students, 100% FRL); Tift County High School (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #232 of 424 statewide, top 56%, 2,273 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 62% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 176 units permitted in Tift County in 2024 (60 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tift County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $88k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 3.3% in Tifton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7XCKQ75MWA8EKJ
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29