6 bd · None ba ·
1,288 sqft ·
Built 1962
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,054/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$144
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$431
Net cashflow
$535/mo
Annual
$6,421/yr
Cap rate
9.86%
Cash-on-cash
12.74%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $268/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pietzsch/Mac Arthur El (math 5% / reading 7%, grade F, #4,315 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 1,083 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 69% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 18% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Beaumont ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,054/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 776% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29