3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
945 sqft ·
Built 2020
· Manufactured
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,459/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$306
Net cashflow
$544/mo
Annual
$6,528/yr
Cap rate
12.82%
Cash-on-cash
23.32%
DSCR
2.04
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#15 in OK, #4,696 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Guthrie (town): math 24% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #119 of 270 in OK (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Cotteral Es (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 294 students, 0% FRL); Guthrie Hs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 1,025 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.2%/yr); 843 active listings in the ZIP; 102 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Logan County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.0% in Guthrie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn and dated appearance
Major: Bathroom cleaning
— Cluttered and in need of cleaning
Moderate: Exterior siding repair
— Wear and tear visible
Moderate: Flooring replacement
— Signs of wear
Moderate: Interior wall repainting
— Discoloration and paint wear
Minor: Window cleaning
— Functional but may need cleaning
CashFlowRE · CFR-7XT68QCQ659MT7
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29