1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,095 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Condo
· Active
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,724/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$317
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$362
Net cashflow
$493/mo
Annual
$5,916/yr
Cap rate
13.70%
Cash-on-cash
26.44%
DSCR
2.18
1% rule
2.16%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $171 of equity ($552 loan paydown + $-381 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
Shirley School District (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #132 of 245 in AR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 259 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Van Buren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 5.3% in Fairfield Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— The siding is visibly weathered and peeling.
Major: paint
— The paint is peeling and the exterior needs a fresh coat.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is sparse and in need of maintenance.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29