1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,095 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Condo
· Active
· 163 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$317
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$-119/mo
Annual
$-1,424/yr
Cap rate
4.51%
Cash-on-cash
-6.37%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $63k (21.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $171 of equity ($552 loan paydown + $-381 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Shirley School District (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #132 of 245 in AR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Shirley Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #419 of 454 statewide, top 93%, 180 students, 100% FRL); Shirley High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #164 of 292 statewide, top 61%, 139 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 73% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 43% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Shirley School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Van Buren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.1% in Fairfield Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— The siding is visibly weathered and peeling.
Major: paint
— The paint is peeling and the exterior needs a fresh coat.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is sparse and in need of maintenance.
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· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29