3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Other
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,623/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,089
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$-49/mo
Annual
$-591/yr
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-1.02%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$58,156
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $208k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-591/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (4.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (21.9% below list).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#52 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gilbert Elementary (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #399 of 597 statewide, top 69%, 768 students, 45% FRL); Gilbert Middle (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #128 of 229 statewide, top 58%, 822 students, 40% FRL); Gilbert High (math 37% / reading 83%, grade C+, #109 of 196 statewide, top 55%, 1,118 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: 280 active listings in the ZIP; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $82k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $63k; list at $208k implies a 230% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $58k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
CashFlowRE · CFR-7Y3BZ1581J4A6D
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29