2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Townhouse
· Active
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,523/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$133
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$320
Net cashflow
$-11/mo
Annual
$-133/yr
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.29%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-133/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (1.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (7.7% below list).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in MO, #1,297 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Blue Springs R-IV (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #17 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.2% in Blue Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7Z9ERCC9Q05HFK
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29