7 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,556 sqft ·
Built 1974
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,212/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,123
Tax + insurance
−$489
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$885
Net cashflow
$715/mo
Annual
$8,580/yr
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.57%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$113,372
Investor read
This is a 1×1bd/1ba + 3×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $405k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $715 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $179/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $405k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($393k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $393k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#195 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
Topeka Public Schools (urban): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #158 of 169 in KS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Landon Middle School (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 219 statewide, top 65%, 457 students, 68% FRL); Topeka West High (math 13% / reading 20%, grade F, #244 of 327 statewide, top 75%, 1,085 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 219 units permitted in Shawnee County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shawnee County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $405k implies a 394% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.3% in Topeka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,212/mo this rent would consume 83% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1192% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7Z9NFX67X332V1
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29