3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,277 sqft ·
Built 1933
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,553/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$441
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$651/mo
Annual
$7,815/yr
Cap rate
15.60%
Cash-on-cash
33.23%
DSCR
2.48
1% rule
1.85%
Cash to close
$23,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $651 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $83k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#209 in IL, #3,927 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
East Peoria Chsd 309 (suburban): math 17% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #482 of 620 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: East Peoria High School (math 17% / reading 15%, grade F, #457 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 947 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 77 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tazewell County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 4.6% in East Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7ZMK4YE05MMZ73
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29