2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,231 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,123/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$229
HOA
−$1,024
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$656
Net cashflow
$218/mo
Annual
$2,620/yr
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.93%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.64%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $173k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#15 in HI, #4,828 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Heeia Elementary School (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #98 of 183 statewide, top 53%, 378 students, 55% FRL); Governor Samuel Wilder King Intermediate School (math 24% / reading 48%, grade F, #21 of 42 statewide, top 54%, 517 students, 52% FRL); Castle High School (math 12% / reading 67%, grade F, #26 of 43 statewide, top 64%, 1,108 students, 47% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $310k (62%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 1.6% in Kaneohe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7ZNB72E12RJJRM
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29