3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,580 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,761/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$241
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$370
Net cashflow
$154/mo
Annual
$1,853/yr
Cap rate
7.27%
Cash-on-cash
3.48%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (7.3% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#135 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lee County (rural): math 44% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #21 of 174 in GA (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Kinchafoonee Primary School (887 students, 48% FRL); Lee County Middle School West (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D+, #89 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 799 students, 44% FRL); Lee County High School (math 10% / reading 19%, grade F, #315 of 424 statewide, top 76%, 1,429 students, 36% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lee County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 133 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $132k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 92% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7ZY0VH3Y85J11B
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29