3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,603 sqft ·
Built 1897
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,185/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$550/mo
Annual
$6,603/yr
Cap rate
19.50%
Cash-on-cash
47.16%
DSCR
3.10
1% rule
2.37%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#350 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Villisca Community School District (rural): math 58% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #256 of 289 in IA (top 89%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $31k; list at $50k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-80BGX59QJCSW4Z
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29