3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$338
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$424
Net cashflow
$1,150/mo
Annual
$13,796/yr
Cap rate
27.68%
Cash-on-cash
76.39%
DSCR
4.40
1% rule
3.13%
Cash to close
$18,060
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $64k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $64k).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $446 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Emma Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,033 of 1,410 statewide, top 76%, 289 students, 98% FRL); Erwin Middle (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #262 of 475 statewide, top 57%, 568 students, 74% FRL); Erwin High (math 52% / reading 49%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,096 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 47% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).
Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-80N72S8E7V52GM
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29