4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,810 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Pending
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,730
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$609
Net cashflow
$356/mo
Annual
$4,270/yr
Cap rate
7.59%
Cash-on-cash
4.62%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$92,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (12.1% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $290k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Toledo Blade Elementary School (math 71% / reading 67%, grade A-, #399 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 799 students, 57% FRL); North Port High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade D+, #171 of 667 statewide, top 26%, 2,562 students, 54% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 837 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-80VWAQDXARC8B4
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29