6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,824 sqft ·
Built 1904
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,712/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$360
Net cashflow
$144/mo
Annual
$1,730/yr
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.53%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (2.1% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $171k (2.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#907 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Fulton City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #554 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Granby Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,846 of 2,108 statewide, top 91%, 471 students, 70% FRL); Fulton Junior High School (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 500 students, 62% FRL); G Ray Bodley High School (math 83% / reading 86%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 976 students, 57% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— small and outdated
Minor: exterior siding
— some discoloration
CashFlowRE · CFR-812XKNAAT5C46S
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29