10 bd · 10.0 ba ·
5,400 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$20,013/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$10,750
Tax + insurance
−$1,996
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,203
Net cashflow
$3,063/mo
Annual
$36,761/yr
Cap rate
8.09%
Cash-on-cash
6.40%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$574,000
Investor read
This is a 10 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $2.05M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($37k/yr) — positive. Per door: $306/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.00M (2.4% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.99M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.99M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $62k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#79 in MA, #4,197 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Haverhill (suburban): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #264 of 302 in MA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $832k; list at $2.05M implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.7% in Haverhill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $20,013/mo this rent would consume 211% of the median local household income ($114k/yr) (locally 260% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-81B3ZBE1Z5MQPS
· Data 24 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29