8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,528 sqft ·
Built 1935
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 276 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,885/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,769
Tax + insurance
−$701
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,236
Net cashflow
$-1,821/mo
Annual
$-21,847/yr
Cap rate
4.31%
Cash-on-cash
-7.09%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.53%
Cash to close
$308,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.10M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-22k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-910/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $778k (29.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $588k (46.5% below list).
It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($968k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $588k (46.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $118k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $110k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $1.10M implies a 610% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$189k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,885/mo this rent would consume 213% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 10286% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29