4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,315 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,874/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$674
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$604
Net cashflow
$-395/mo
Annual
$-4,741/yr
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.52%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-395 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (18.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (23.3% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $287k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in GA, #4,693 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mulberry Elementary School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade C, #178 of 1,228 statewide, top 15%, 710 students, 42% FRL); Dacula Middle School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #162 of 470 statewide, top 35%, 1,839 students, 58% FRL); Dacula High School (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #325 of 424 statewide, top 78%, 2,498 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $234k; list at $375k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.8% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-81RN1A151W2819
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29