4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,636 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$616
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$735
Net cashflow
$581/mo
Annual
$6,975/yr
Cap rate
8.63%
Cash-on-cash
8.33%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#52 in CT, #3,320 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Watertown School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #84 of 153 in CT (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $163k; list at $299k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.5% in Watertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-81V1B814AB1Z4H
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29