3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,740 sqft ·
Built 1870
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,352/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$653/mo
Annual
$7,838/yr
Cap rate
19.36%
Cash-on-cash
46.66%
DSCR
3.08
1% rule
2.25%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#814 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, cost of living A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
Fonda-Fultonville Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #228 of 590 in NY (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Severe weathering and peeling paint
Major: Roof
— Snow accumulation and potential ice damming
Major: Flooring
— Exposed subflooring and debris
Major: Interior walls
— Peeling paint and exposed insulation
Major: Bathrooms
— Dirty, outdated fixtures and missing tiles
Major: Kitchen
— Dirty, outdated cabinets and missing countertops
CashFlowRE · CFR-82VHE06JN8YX6F
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29