5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,016 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,496/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,626
Tax + insurance
−$356
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$524
Net cashflow
$-10/mo
Annual
$-123/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.14%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$86,800
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-123/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (19.5% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $250k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#152 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime F.
Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in Hiram — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-830TF46V041FT5
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29