None bd · None ba ·
1,658 sqft ·
Built 1985
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,386/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$416
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$501
Net cashflow
$158/mo
Annual
$1,895/yr
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.71%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $79/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (4.5% below list).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $227k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#871 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 43 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,386/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 424% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-84VQB2A6QYMBN8
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29