3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,593 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$336
Net cashflow
$-151/mo
Annual
$-1,809/yr
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.94%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-151 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (12.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (27.3% below list).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#281 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
Gordon County (rural): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #65 of 174 in GA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 414 units permitted in Gordon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $180k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29