3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,276 sqft ·
Built 2020
· Manufactured
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,456/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$516
Net cashflow
$801/mo
Annual
$9,609/yr
Cap rate
12.12%
Cash-on-cash
20.81%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $801 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#12 in WA, #222 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
Enumclaw School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #46 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 2.4% in Enumclaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-853FKJAXQP5VKB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29