2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Townhouse
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,220/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$374
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$466
Net cashflow
$174/mo
Annual
$2,087/yr
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.48%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (3.5% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#27 in GA, #3,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, commute A-; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 402 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $21k; list at $230k implies a 995% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.5% in Smyrna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-85G1TS9V1VBJYH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29