2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$918/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$294
Tax + insurance
−$111
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$193
Net cashflow
$321/mo
Annual
$3,850/yr
Cap rate
14.59%
Cash-on-cash
29.64%
DSCR
2.32
1% rule
1.64%
Cash to close
$15,680
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($918 rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#51 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment F.
Searcy School District (town): math 47% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #37 of 238 in AR (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mcrae Elementary School (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #143 of 454 statewide, top 36%, 422 students, 58% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 51% / reading 42%, grade D+, #49 of 201 statewide, top 26%, 910 students, 50% FRL); Searcy High School (math 30% / reading 42%, grade F, #81 of 292 statewide, top 29%, 1,166 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 219 units permitted in White County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
White County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $29k; list at $56k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 3.2% in Searcy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-85KTE75B4PVES6
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29