1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
608 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Active
· 128 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,228/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$442
HOA
−$716
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$678
Net cashflow
$-50/mo
Annual
$-604/yr
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.78%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-604/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (3.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#326 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 358 students, 84% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 826 students, 78% FRL); William T. Dwyer High School (math 36% / reading 58%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,206 students, 37% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $153k; list at $275k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,228/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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