3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,514 sqft ·
Built 2022
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,625/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,973
Tax + insurance
−$392
HOA
−$219
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,181
Net cashflow
$860/mo
Annual
$10,317/yr
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.50%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$158,749
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $567k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $860 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $562k (0.8% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($558k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $558k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#51 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
Summit School District No. RE-1 (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #35 of 86 in CO (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Silverthorne Elementary School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #922 of 966 statewide, top 97%, 342 students, 54% FRL); Summit Middle School (math 24% / reading 38%, grade F, #126 of 270 statewide, top 46%, 764 students, 38% FRL); Summit High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #115 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 1,132 students, 29% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 314 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 308 units permitted in Summit County in 2024 (123 in 5+ unit buildings).
Summit County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 1.1% in Silverthorne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,625/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($106k/yr) (locally 228% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-86P6QF729GQ63A
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29