3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,597 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Other
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,604/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$408
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$-426/mo
Annual
$-5,113/yr
Cap rate
4.21%
Cash-on-cash
-7.45%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-426 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (25.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (34.5% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (34.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Miller Park Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #471 of 502 statewide, top 95%, 390 students, 0% FRL); North High School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #247 of 261 statewide, top 95%, 1,796 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $1,604/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1913% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-875YX3CRW1XMEN
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29