40414 Newport Hwy #43

Deer Park, WA 99009

$24,000B-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 528 sqft · Built 1967 · Manufactured · Pending · 75 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $940/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$126
• Tax + insurance: −$16
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$197
• Net cashflow: $601/mo
• Annual: $7,208/yr
• Cap rate: 36.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 107.27%
• DSCR: 5.77
• 1% rule: 3.91%
• Cash to close: $6,720

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $24k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $601 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($940 rent vs $24k).
• It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $166 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $720 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#531 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
• Riverside School District (rural): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #144 of 291 in WA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 36.3% vs local median 2.4% in Deer Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.