2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
929 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,246/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$602/mo
Annual
$7,227/yr
Cap rate
19.43%
Cash-on-cash
46.93%
DSCR
3.09
1% rule
2.27%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Wilder Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #475 of 597 statewide, top 81%, 376 students, 100% FRL); Bates Middle (math 9% / reading 21%, grade F, #202 of 229 statewide, top 89%, 569 students, 100% FRL); Sumter High School (math 22% / reading 67%, grade F, #166 of 196 statewide, top 87%, 2,289 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 6775% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $55k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 3.4% in Sumter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-87CPTR7K2418QN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29