2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 151 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$946/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$199
Net cashflow
$201/mo
Annual
$2,417/yr
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.16%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($946 rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#60 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Sulphur (town): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #56 of 270 in OK (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Murray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Murray County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $85k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.4% in Sulphur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-87X7MS1F3D2T1A
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29