None bd · None ba ·
802 sqft ·
Built 1895
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$886/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,245
Tax + insurance
−$396
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$186
Net cashflow
$-942/mo
Annual
$-11,301/yr
Cap rate
1.53%
Cash-on-cash
-16.99%
DSCR
0.24
1% rule
0.37%
Cash to close
$66,500
Investor read
This is a townhouse listed at $238k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-942 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $101k (57.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (62.7% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (62.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in IA, #406 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
Waverly-Shell Rock Community School District (town): math 79% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #46 of 289 in IA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 34 units permitted in Bremer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bremer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 1.5% vs local median 2.4% in Waverly — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 63% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: interior walls
— Peeling paint
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29