2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,024 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 134 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,518/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$182
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$-14/mo
Annual
$-169/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.37%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-169/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (1.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (8.0% below list).
It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#44 in MO, #3,612 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
North Kansas City 74 (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #98 of 324 in MO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Chapel Hill Elementary (math 55% / reading 64%, grade B-, #124 of 1,115 statewide, top 13%, 599 students, 40% FRL); Antioch Middle (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #163 of 391 statewide, top 44%, 865 students, 47% FRL); Oak Park High (math 36% / reading 56%, grade D-, #170 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 1,756 students, 42% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Gladstone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-88KBFK31D1PTH4
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29