6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,920 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Other
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,484/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$222
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$312
Net cashflow
$295/mo
Annual
$3,537/yr
Cap rate
9.12%
Cash-on-cash
10.10%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#374 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
Pearsall ISD (town): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #810 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Frio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Frio County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-88Z3JGD91RRJX9
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29