3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,176 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Manufactured
· Active
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,323/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$278
Net cashflow
$-424/mo
Annual
$-5,088/yr
Cap rate
4.43%
Cash-on-cash
-6.66%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-424 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (32.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (42.5% below list).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (42.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mcintosh County (town): math 23% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #118 of 174 in GA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Todd Grant Elementary School (math 24% / reading 23%, grade F, #790 of 1,228 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 79% FRL); Mcintosh County Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #265 of 470 statewide, top 57%, 271 students, 79% FRL); Mcintosh Academy (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #109 of 424 statewide, top 26%, 395 students, 79% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 296 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McIntosh County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $88k; list at $230k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 1.0% in Crescent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8946X5D6EK8BYW
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29