9425 State Highway 54

Thomas, OK 73669

$101,500B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,400 sqft · Built 2006 · Manufactured · Active · 478 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,225/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$532
• Tax + insurance: −$148
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$257
• Net cashflow: $287/mo
• Annual: $3,446/yr
• Cap rate: 9.69%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.13%
• DSCR: 1.54
• 1% rule: 1.21%
• Cash to close: $28,420

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $102k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $102k).
• It's been on market 478 days — a 12% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $89k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($702 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified District (rural): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #18 of 270 in OK (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Thomas Es (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #42 of 845 statewide, top 5%, 260 students, 0% FRL); Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified Hs (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #25 of 447 statewide, top 8%, 93 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $103k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 478 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.