4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Townhouse
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,516/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$896
Tax + insurance
−$329
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$318
Net cashflow
$-28/mo
Annual
$-339/yr
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.71%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$47,852
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $171k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-339/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (2.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (11.3% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $152k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#169 in IA, #3,069 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Newton Community School District (town): math 59% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #245 of 289 in IA (top 85%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Thomas Jefferson Elementary School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #224 of 616 statewide, top 42%, 325 students, 55% FRL); Berg Middle School (math 55% / reading 61%, grade B, #195 of 246 statewide, top 79%, 841 students, 55% FRL); Newton Senior High School (math 60% / reading 62%, grade C+, #258 of 336 statewide, top 78%, 818 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: 242 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $171k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.1% in Newton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-89GGM301YXED7F
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29