3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,210 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 477 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,005/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,517
Tax + insurance
−$800
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$841
Net cashflow
$-153/mo
Annual
$-1,840/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.37%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$134,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $480k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $458k (4.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $400k (16.6% below list).
It's been on market 477 days — a 12% lower offer ($422k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $400k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 212 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $480k implies a 586% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,005/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) (locally 1055% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 477 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-89KMY1EP93N9W7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29