3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Under Contract
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,088/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$-313/mo
Annual
$-3,756/yr
Cap rate
4.41%
Cash-on-cash
-6.74%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.55%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-313 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (27.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (45.3% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (45.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#446 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+, employment B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Jasper County (rural): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #113 of 174 in GA (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jasper County Middle School (math 20% / reading 28%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 630 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 183 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $125k; list at $199k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8A1CSBBGE8ZS6W
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29