3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1951
· Other
· Pending
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,425/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$299
Net cashflow
$-88/mo
Annual
$-1,058/yr
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.89%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (7.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (28.7% below list).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (28.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#94 in KY, #3,786 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
Taylor County (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #71 of 165 in KY (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Taylor County Primary Center (717 students, 53% FRL); Taylor County Middle School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #99 of 217 statewide, top 47%, 601 students, 52% FRL); Taylor County High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #127 of 254 statewide, top 58%, 817 students, 47% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taylor County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.7% in Campbellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8A5RZ9BSMZV2WS
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29