1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
591 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,560/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$660
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$448
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$328
Net cashflow
$-85/mo
Annual
$-1,018/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.89%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$35,224
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $126k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (9.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $126k).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $870 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Palm Lake Elementary (math 59% / reading 59%, grade B-, #722 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 651 students, 48% FRL); Chain of Lakes Middle (math 39% / reading 37%, grade F, #388 of 571 statewide, top 69%, 1,209 students, 46% FRL); Dr. Phillips High (math 21% / reading 49%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 3,202 students, 44% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 424 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.1% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance
Minor: Paint
— Slight wear
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