4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,468 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,287/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$156
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$546/mo
Annual
$6,555/yr
Cap rate
18.33%
Cash-on-cash
42.99%
DSCR
2.91
1% rule
2.14%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#364 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Westfield Central School District (town): math 57% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #246 of 590 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Westfield Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 297 students, 52% FRL); Westfield Middle School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B, #161 of 729 statewide, top 24%, 142 students, 55% FRL); Westfield High School (math 95% / reading 95%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 198 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $60k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8B8ZDYDZH2XARJ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29