2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,132 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Condo
· Active
· 234 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,499/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$945
HOA
−$879
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$735
Net cashflow
$-580/mo
Annual
$-6,966/yr
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.28%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-580 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $187k (35.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (35.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $150k; list at $290k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,499/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29