2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,985/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,571
Tax + insurance
−$499
HOA
−$321
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$627
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-396/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.47%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$83,860
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-396/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $295k (1.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $298k (0.3% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $282k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#79 in IL, #1,280 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
Cons Hsd 230 (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #146 of 620 in IL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Palos East Elementary School (math 46% / reading 51%, grade D, #213 of 2,056 statewide, top 10%, 689 students, 0% FRL); Palos South Middle School (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C+, #41 of 665 statewide, top 6%, 701 students, 0% FRL); Amos Alonzo Stagg High School (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 2,538 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 1.3% in Palos Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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