3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,320 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$88/mo
Annual
$1,060/yr
Cap rate
7.08%
Cash-on-cash
2.80%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (16.7% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#214 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Southwest R-V (rural): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #288 of 324 in MO (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Southwest Elem. (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #879 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 347 students, 64% FRL); Southwest Middle (math 18% / reading 28%, grade F, #330 of 391 statewide, top 84%, 219 students, 61% FRL); Southwest High (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #314 of 521 statewide, top 61%, 262 students, 56% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 57 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8CZPDWBFAN9RHC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29