2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
4,279 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,292/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$283
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$-154/mo
Annual
$-1,846/yr
Cap rate
5.21%
Cash-on-cash
-3.88%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (13.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (24.0% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $129k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#213 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
Hancock Place (suburban): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #251 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hancock Place Elem. (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #739 of 1,115 statewide, top 67%, 616 students, 74% FRL); Hancock Sr. High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 389 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 57% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8D2R1R3RKN93PH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29