3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 2017
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,821/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$257
Tax + insurance
−$82
HOA
−$935
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$382
Net cashflow
$165/mo
Annual
$1,975/yr
Cap rate
10.32%
Cash-on-cash
14.40%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
3.72%
Cash to close
$13,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in UT, #810 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Ogden City District (urban): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #72 of 80 in UT (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Heritage School (math 21% / reading 25%, grade F, #501 of 585 statewide, top 86%, 638 students, 100% FRL); Highland Junior High (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #135 of 138 statewide, top 98%, 715 students, 0% FRL); Ben Lomond High (math 11% / reading 28%, grade F, #158 of 171 statewide, top 94%, 1,169 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 75% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 615 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Driveway
— Cracks in the concrete driveway need sealing.
Minor: Paint
— Faded paint in some areas needs touch-up.
Minor: Flooring
— Some wear on tile flooring needs minor touch-up or replacement in high-traffic areas.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8DD9DC3QA8ER28
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29