4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,500 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,663/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$666
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$769
Net cashflow
$392/mo
Annual
$4,706/yr
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.80%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $196/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $318k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#3 in IN, #446 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
Noblesville Schools (suburban): math 51% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #26 of 301 in IN (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hinkle Creek Elementary School (math 56% / reading 55%, grade C, #188 of 994 statewide, top 19%, 927 students, 19% FRL); Noblesville High School (math 53% / reading 79%, grade B, #28 of 369 statewide, top 7%, 3,227 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 456 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $250k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in Noblesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,663/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 641% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8DGYGNEAAH8MZH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29